In Antwort auf
Cant believe the editors here at ESPN.com want a Chase for the Sprint Cup outlook. Are they setting me up to fail?Who could predict that the last driver to make it out of the 2015 quarterfinal round -- Kyle Busch -- would win the title? He wouldnt have advanced if his teammate Matt Kenseth had won at Kansas Speedway (and therefore earned an automatic bid into the next round) instead of getting roughed up by Joey Logano.We all know how that ended up.So take these outlooks with a grain of salt. In these three-race rounds where race winners and best in points advance while eliminating four drivers, anything can happen culminating with the best-finisher-at-Homestead among the four finalists being crowned the champion.From fist bumps to fists thrown, the Chase is, by the nature of the rules and for better or for worse, unpredictable.Kyle BuschTeam: Joe Gibbs Racing No. 18 ToyotaCrew chief: Adam Stevens2016 regular season points finish: 6th2016 wins: 4Previous Chase appearances: 8Championships: 2015Why he will win: He knows he can win a championship by running well enough to get by and capitalizing at the end. Hes the No. 1 seed because he has four wins and his three runner-up finishes are two more than Brad Keselowski has, not because he has been the best car all year. That being said, he has led more laps than any other driver this season.Why he wont: He has little momentum. He was sixth in the regular-season standings and has led more than five laps only once in the last six races and in only four of the last 15 races. And being the No.1 seed isnt good for Busch -- he has finished 10th (2008) and 12th (2011) in the years where he was the No. 1 seed.Brad Keselowski????????Team: Team Penske No. 2 FordCrew chief: Paul Wolfe2016 regular season points finish: 2nd2016 wins: 4Previous Chase appearances: 4Championships: 2012Why he will win: Keselowskis 12 top-5 finishes rank him just behind regular-season champ Kevin Harvick and that type of consistency can get him to Homestead, where anything can happen.Why he wont: The 2012 champion doesnt have the speed of some of his competitors. He will have to make something happen to get the finishes he needs, and at some point be forced to overdrive the car.Denny HamlinTeam: Joe Gibbs Racing No. 11 ToyotaCrew chief: Mike Wheeler2016 regular season points finish: 4th2016 wins: 3Previous Chase appearances: 9Championships: NoneWhy he will win: Hamlin knows how to rise to the occasion. He bookended the regular season with emotional victories -- a Daytona 500 win and then a win at his home track at Richmond. The inconsistency this year can be blamed on that Daytona 500 win and little incentive to race well each week.Why he wont: Because there are pit-road timing lines on pit road, and Hamlin has had a lead foot this season with more pit-road speeding penalties than trophies. The idea that the Daytona 500 win allowed this team to experiment and cruise through the rest of the year could be a smokescreen of bigger issues. His 29 career victories are more than any other active driver without a championship.Kevin HarvickTeam: Stewart-Haas Racing No. 4 ChevroletCrew chief: Rodney Childers2016 regular season points finish: 1st2016 wins: 2ndPrevious Chase appearances: 9Championships: 2014Why he will win: He has finished in the top 10 in 21 of 26 races this year, and top-10 finishes gets a driver at least into the semifinal round. He has owned Phoenix -- the last race of that semifinal round -- in recent years. His five top-5s in past six races shows hes ready for the Chase.Why he wont: His pit crew will crack under the pressure he has put on them. And they will be under pressure because there will be races where the Toyotas will just flat out be better.Carl EdwardsTeam: Joe Gibbs Racing No. 19 ToyotaCrew chief: Dave Rogers2016 regular season points finish: 7th2016 wins: 2Previous Chase appearances: 9Championships: NoneWhy he will win: Its his turn. Actually, its their turn. Both Edwards and crew chief Rogers have proved themselves as championship-caliber talents. They have all the tools they need to win one.Why he wont: After leading laps in six of the first nine races, Edwards has led laps in only six of the last 17 races. And maybe a driver who loses the championship on a tiebreaker one year and then fails to advance to the final round because of rain at Phoenix in another is destined to never win a title.Martin Truex Jr.Team: Furniture Row Racing No. 78 ToyotaCrew chief: Cole Pearn2016 regular season points finish: 8th2016 wins: 2Previous Chase appearances: 3Championships: NoneWhy he will win: Nobody has led more miles this year than Truex, who has paced the field for 1,664 miles (16.7 percent). He advanced to the final round last year, so he knows how to deal with the pressure.Why he wont: He has already won twice this year and Truex isnt known for stockpiling wins in a season -- this is the first time he has won more than one race in a year. His season has been a year of coulda, shoulda, woulda and those types of seasons only get a driver to the final round, they dont win championships.Matt KensethTeam: Joe Gibbs Racing No. 20 ToyotaCrew chief: Jason Ratcliff2016 regular season points finish: 13th2016 wins: 2Previous Chase appearances: 11Championships: 2003Why he will win: Hes still ticked off about losing the chance to win the title last year and the suspension for wrecking Joey Logano. Its time for him to show it.Why he wont: He has not performed as well as his Toyota brethren in 2016. He was 13th in points. Yes, he has had four DNFs this year -- and teammates Busch and Edwards have had five and still outpointed him by more than 80 during the regular season.Jimmie JohnsonTeam: Hendrick Motorsports No. 48 ChevroletCrew chief: Chad Knaus2016 regular season points finish: 9th2016 wins: 2Previous Chase appearances: 12Championships: 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2013Why he will win: Hes Jimmie Johnson. He knows how to win championships.Why he wont: Because its 2016, and Johnson has finished in the top 10 in just 10 races. He has never had a season where he has had fewer than 20 top-10s. He also has failed to advance to the final round of the elimination-style Chase implemented in 2014.Joey LoganoTeam: Team Penske No. 22 FordCrew chief: Todd Gordon2016 regular season points finish: 3rd2016 wins: 1Previous Chase appearances: 3Championships: NoneWhy he will win: Just when you think Logano wont be a factor or has seemed to have found a rut, he breaks out with strong performances. He has quietly had a quite consistently strong season, finishing third in regular-season points despite having just one win. The elimination-style Chase is all about consistency and being great in the last four races.Why he wont: As much as Keselowski and Logano have tried, they just have not matched the Toyotas and Harvick lap for lap for lap. That doesnt turn around from race No. 26 to No. 27.Kyle LarsonTeam: Chip Ganassi Racing No. 42 ChevroletCrew chief: Chad Johnston2016 regular season points finish: 14th2016 wins: 1Previous Chase appearances: NoneChampionships: NoneWhy he will win: No driver is as hot as Larson at the moment, as he has had three consecutive top-three finishes. Drivers talk about the pressure in the Chase, and no driver seems to have more ice in his veins than Larson.Why he wont: When it takes a driver 99 races to earn his first win, it will take more than three years to earn his first championship.Tony StewartTeam: Stewart-Haas Racing No. 14 ChevroletCrew chief: Mike Bugarewicz2016 regular season points finish: 27th2016 wins: 1Previous Chase appearances: 8Championships: 2002, 2005, 2011Why he will win: The racing gods work in mysterious ways, and Stewart winning a title in his final Sprint Cup season would be the ultimate storyline, thrilling many and angering some.Why he wont: While he turned a mediocre 2011 season into a title, the brain says no way that can happen again. He has finished outside the top 20 in each of the last four races.Kurt BuschTeam: Stewart-Haas Racing No. 41 ChevroletCrew chief: Tony Gibson2016 regular season points finish: 5th2016 wins: 1Previous Chase appearances: 9Championships: 2004Why he will win: Much like Logano, Busch has quietly put together a solid year. He had 17 top-10s in the regular season. Who needs top-5s (he has only six this year) in this style of Chase? Just have that great day at Homestead.Why he wont: He has no momentum. Since the win at Pocono, he has had just two finishes better than 10th in the last 12 races.Chris BuescherTeam: Front Row Motorsports No. 34 FordCrew chief: Bob Osborne2016 regular season points finish: 29th2016 wins: 1Previous Chase appearances: NoneChampionships: NoneWhy he will win: LOL.Why he wont: Hes already won. Hes in the Chase. When you dont have enough fingers and toes to calculate your average finish, its one of those great-to-be-here kind of things.Chase ElliottTeam: Hendrick Motorsports No. 24 ChevroletCrew chief: Alan Gustafson2016 regular season points finish: 10th2016 wins: 0Previous Chase appearances: NoneChampionships: NoneWhy he will win: He has a championship-caliber team, and Elliott finishes races -- he has just one DNF all year.Why he wont: Rookies dont win championships. Elliott is still learning how to go from very good to great.Austin DillonTeam:?Richard Childress Racing No. 3 ChevroletCrew chief: Richard Slugger Labbe2016 regular season points finish: 11th2016 wins: 0Previous Chase appearances: NoneChampionships: NoneWhy he will win: He drives the 3, and sometimes things are hard to explain.Why he wont: RCR hasnt won a race in nearly three years.Jamie McMurrayTeam: Chip Ganassi Racing No. 1 ChevroletCrew chief: Matt McCall2016 regular season points finish: 12th2016 wins: 0Previous Chase appearances: 1Championships: NoneWhy he will win: Because nice guys finish first?Why he wont: NASCAR likes to compare this elimination format to the NCAA mens basketball tournament. The No. 16 seed has yet to beat a No. 1. That, and the fact that McMurray has yet to lead a lap. All year. New Balance Running Shoes Outlet . Louis Cardinals. Victorino is batting sixth and playing right field after missing two games because of back tightness. Discount New Balance Shoes . U.S. District Judge Lorna G. Schofield in Manhattan agreed that lawyers on both sides could make their formal requests by Nov. 8. A hearing is scheduled for a day earlier. Jordan Siev, a lawyer for Rodriguez, wrote in a joint letter to the judge from lawyers on both sides that MLB lawyers planned to ask that the lawsuit be dismissed. http://www.cheapnewbalance.com/ .S. -- Nikolaj Ehlers registered a hat trick for the third straight game and Jonathan Drouin had a goal and five assists as the Halifax Mooseheads hammered the host Cape Breton Screaming Eagles 10-1 on Tuesday in Quebec Major Junior Hockey League action. New Balance Running Shoes For Sale . But when it comes to determining if Raymond will find a place on the Leafs roster when training camp concludes in a week, well, that decision will ultimately fall to the head coach. Cheap New Balance Running Shoes . -- Golden State Warriors coach Mark Jackson asked his players a simple question during Fridays morning shootaround: How many of them had ever been on a team 14 games over . This week, NASCAR rolls into my homeland of Upstate New York for its second and final road course race of the year, this one at Watkins Glen. That means the racing will look far different than youre used to.Yeah, you get right turns to go along with those left turns, but from a fantasy perspective, there are a few other trends you have to keep an eye on.First, were going to have a lot of drivers on the leaad lap, thanks to the long course and relatively lower speeds.dddddddddddd Start-finish differential becomes huge, especially considering a big drop-back could be in play. Likewise, a big wreck late could gain a driver many spots. Look what happened to Chris Buescher last week. 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